Mapping Vulnerability

Understanding why some are more susceptible to climate impacts

Step 2: Assess Who and What Is Vulnerable

Vulnerability is not uniform. The same hazard affects different people, places, and systems differently.

Key Concept: Differential Vulnerability

A heat wave in a wealthy neighborhood with air conditioning, tree canopy, and access to healthcare has far less impact than the same heat wave in a low-income neighborhood with poor housing, no AC, limited green space, and elderly residents with chronic illness. Same hazard, vastly different vulnerability.

Multi-Dimensional Vulnerability Assessment

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Building quality, infrastructure age, protective systems

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Demographics, health, education, social networks

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Income, employment, insurance, financial reserves

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Ecosystem health, natural buffers, resource availability

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Governance, planning, emergency response, enforcement

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Overall Vulnerability
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High
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Physical Infrastructure
  • β€’ Building codes
  • β€’ Flood defenses
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Social Factors
  • β€’ Age distribution
  • β€’ Health status
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Economic Capacity
  • β€’ Income levels
  • β€’ Employment diversity
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Environmental Context
  • β€’ Wetlands/forests
  • β€’ Soil quality
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Institutional Strength
  • β€’ Planning capacity
  • β€’ Emergency services

Vulnerability Assessment Methods

πŸ“Š Indicator-Based Assessment

Use quantitative indicators to measure vulnerability dimensions:

Physical:Building age, elevation, distance to coast, infrastructure condition
Social:% elderly, % disabled, % linguistically isolated, health access
Economic:Median income, poverty rate, employment, insurance coverage
Institutional:Budget per capita, emergency services, planning capacity

πŸ—ΊοΈ Spatial Mapping

Overlay vulnerability indicators with hazard maps using GIS:

  • Combine flood zones with socioeconomic data to identify vulnerable populations
  • Map critical infrastructure (hospitals, shelters) against hazard exposure
  • Identify hotspots where high hazard + high vulnerability = high risk
  • Tools: ArcGIS, QGIS, Climate Explorer, FEMA flood maps

πŸ’¬ Participatory Assessment

Engage communities to understand lived vulnerability:

  • Focus groups: What barriers prevent people from adapting?
  • Surveys: Self-reported capacity, concerns, priorities
  • Community mapping: Residents identify local vulnerabilities experts miss
  • Historical narratives: How did past events affect different groups?

⚠️ Common Pitfall: Average Vulnerability

Reporting average vulnerability for a region obscures critical inequality. A city with average moderate vulnerability might have wealthy areas with low vulnerability and marginalized neighborhoods with extreme vulnerability. Always disaggregate by relevant social categories (income, age, race, location) to identify who needs targeted support.

Adaptive vs. Coping Capacity

Coping Capacity:Short-term ability to manage acute shocks (emergency supplies, evacuation, insurance claims). Important but doesn't reduce long-term vulnerability.
Adaptive Capacity:Long-term ability to adjust to changing conditions (income diversification, education, technology access, governance). Reduces vulnerability over time.