Uncertainty Planning

Master uncertainty planning to build robust agents that thrive in unpredictable environments

The Reality of Uncertainty

Perfect information is a luxury most AI agents don't have. In the real world, agents face incomplete data, unpredictable outcomes, and changing conditions. A travel agent doesn't know if flights will be delayed. A trading bot can't predict market crashes. A research assistant can't guarantee API availability.

The difference between a fragile agent and a robust one? How it handles uncertainty. Great agents don't just plan for the happy pathβ€”they anticipate unknowns and adapt dynamically.

Why Traditional Planning Fails

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Brittle Planning

Assumes perfect information. Single fixed plan. Breaks when reality differs from expectations. No fallback options.

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Robust Planning

Acknowledges uncertainty. Multiple contingency plans. Adapts to new information. Degrades gracefully under failure.

Interactive: Planning Under Uncertainty

See how agents respond when faced with uncertain conditions

Task: "Book cheapest flight to NYC for conference"
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Available Information

  • βœ“ All flight prices are fixed and known
  • βœ“ Weather forecasts are 100% accurate
  • βœ“ No delays or cancellations possible
  • βœ“ Hotel availability guaranteed

Agent's Plan: Simple linear plan works perfectly. Book cheapest flight β†’ Reserve hotel β†’ Done. No contingencies needed.

Interactive: Uncertainty Impact

Adjust the uncertainty level to see how planning confidence changes

50%
Perfect InfoHigh Uncertainty
Planning Confidence50%

Moderate Confidence

Agent should prepare backup plans. Monitor for changes during execution.

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Core Principle

Uncertainty isn't a bugβ€”it's a feature of real-world environments. Robust agents don't try to eliminate uncertainty; they plan for it. They create flexible plans with multiple paths, monitor execution continuously, and adapt when reality diverges from expectations.